Jeff Vandermeer’s Ecstatic Days blog has a link to a post on Next Read where gav has decided that sf is currently dying. Searching for “books that really turn you on and excite you” he finds that “no, instead the same old names are dragged out out from their mausoleums” (though he does concede that there are some new writers). Mark Charan Newton mused on similar lines though also from the perspective of being involved in publishing. (He does have a second post defending himself an I can see sense in his arguments coming from an ex-bookseller perspective.)
I wonder if we’re just experiencing a contraction after the growth and energy of New Space Opera, New Weird, and so on and so forth. Big sf is not going to go away but perhaps things are changing ever so slightly for canny sf writers. Why? The context has changed, the grand narratives of the 19th and 20th centuries are mutating into something new and Art hasn’t got its head around it.
Genre’s changing. It will be different.
Perhaps another case of sf is dead, long live sf.